Technical note

Product nameShort nameDescriptionTime periodDownload
Verification ForecastVerification

this step show the verification of foreacst precipitation issue from previous forecast in precipitation map in percent of average, performance index map forecast verifcation

MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
Performance forecastVerification

Using the forecast map issue 3 to 5 years ago, to identify the good performance of foreacast

PNG CSV Geojson
Climate variability including climatological averages, persistence and trends analysesCliVaT

Climate variability and trends for the target seasons is generate with monthly precipitation data downloaded using script. These are graphs processed with Excel or R package (see practical guide for seasonal climate forecast step1)

MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
Drivers, teleconnections, including composites on the drivers MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
Analog yearsAnalog-Years

Analog years are the previous years where the behavior of SSTs in ocean basins is close to that of the current year. Comparing the temporal variability and the SST values of the historical years (from 1980 up to date) with current year and the forecast for next three months (see practical guide for seasonal climate forecast step2).

MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
Dry and wet yearswet & dry

The wet and dry years are identified on the basis of percent of average precipitation. Years with percent of average precipitation above a threshold (120 or 125% to be chosen) are considered as wet years. Years are considered to be years in which the percent of average precipitation are less than a threshold (75% or 80% to be chosen) are taken as dry years. The choice of thresholds depend on the basis of the climatology of the location (see practical guide for seasonal climate forecast step3).

MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
Global sst and precipitation composite for wet and dry yearSST Composite

It is the process of averaging SST anomaly data for wet and dry years. Related maps are used to identify SST patterns associated with wet and dry years, respectively. These patterns are compared with the current and expected evolution of SST anomalies leading to determination of whether or not the coming season can be close to either a wet or a dry year (see practical guide for seasonal climate forecast step4).

MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
Cumulative estimated precipitation and anual cycleProfile

Cumulative precipitation and percent of average time series graph are generated with the current year, cumulative average year 75% and 125% of the average year and analog year. The Graph facilitated drought analysis at grids point or at station (see practical guide for seasonal climate forecast step5).

MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
statiscal forecast with climate predictability toolsCPT

Statistical seasonal precipitation forecast is generated using a statistical package: Climate predictability Tool (CPT). Statistical seasonal precipitation forecast is based on relationships between precipitation as predictants and predictors (example: SST). Output products are probabilistic precipitation with 3 categories (Above average, Near average and Below average) (see practical guide for seasonal climate forecast step6).

MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
global sigles dynamical models long range ensembles forecast

Analysis on SST, temperature and precipitation maps downloaded (see practical guide for seasonal climate forecast step7)

MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
Globals dynamical multi models long range ensembles forecats productsLRF

Analysis on SST, temperature and precipitation maps downloaded (see practical guide for seasonal climate forecast step8)

MonthlyPNG CSV Geojson
Forecast probabilities for exceedance of given tresholdsPNG CSV Geojson
Consoludated continental long range forecastPNG CSV Geojson
Seasonal Probability of Exceeding threshold

Probability of exceeding a given threshold during the season.

SeasonalPNG CSV Geojson
Onset Monitoring and Forecast

Map showing the onset status (Observe/Forecased).

WeeklyPNG CSV Geojson
Cummulated precipitation distribution time serie

Map to plot the rainfall profils for all synoptic stations.

WeeklyPNG CSV Geojson
Product nameShort nameDescriptionTime periodDownload
Ranked annual temperature anomaliesRnkd-Temp-Ano

Mean annual temperature anomalies computed and ranked

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Temporal annual temperature anomaly Temp-Ano-Trnd

Mean annual temperature anomalies computed and a graph of temperature anomalies ploted including temperature trend

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Spatial annual temperature anomaly mapATemp-Ano-Map

Mean annual temperature anomalies computed at all grid-points and a spatiol map produced

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Spatial seasonal
temperature anomaly map
STemp-Ano-Map

Mean seasonal temperature anomalies computed at all grid-points and a spatiol map produced

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Annual cycle of temperatureAnn-Cycle

Mean annual cycle of temperaturegenerated and a graph produced

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
spatial annual precipitation in
percent of average
APrcp-percnt-Ave

Mean annual precipitation in percent of average is computed and a map is produced

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
spatial seasonal precipitation in
percent of average
SPrcp-percnt-Ave

Mean seasonal precipitation in percent of average is computed and a map is produced (for continental and regional cases)

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Tropical cyclone tracksTrop-Cyclne

Recorded systems during the tropical cyclone season over
southwest Indian Ocean basin is considered

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Tropical cyclone frequencyTrop-Cyclne-Frq

Recorded occurances during the tropical cyclone season over
southwest Indian Ocean basin is considered

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Observed significant harzards and
their impacts map
Sig-hazards-impct

observed significant harzards and their impacts in the year of study obtained from various sources.

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Table of extreme weather and climate events experiencedExtrm_Wx_Tble

A table of recorded extreme weather and climate events

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Table of observed mean surface temperature anomaliesSurf_temp_Ano

A table of observed mean surface temperature anomalies in the region

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Table of warmest years on record over AfricaWarmest_years

A table of 10 warmest years on record over Africa since 1950

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Table of rate of temperature change over the African continent and sub-regionsRte_temp_chnge

A table of recorded rate of temperature change over the African continent and sub-regions

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Variability of ENSOENSO

A graph showing variability of ENSO

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Variability of Tropical North Atlantic indexTNA

A graph showing variability of TNA

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Variability of Tropical South AtlanticTSA

A graph showing variability of TSA

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Variability of Tropical Atlantic indexTAI

A graph showing variability of TAI

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson
Variability of Indian Ocean Dipole.IOD

A graph showing variability of IOD

yearlyPNG CSV Geojson

Technical note on climate extreme indices

Product nameShort nameDescriptionTime periodLink
Observed and projected changes in annual
precipitation extremes
changes-Aprcp-extrmObserved and projected changes in annual precipitation extremes
between historical and future periods
are computed
yearly
Observed and projected changes in annual
temperature extremes
changes-Atemp-extrmObserved and projected changes in annual temperature extremes
between historical and future periods
are computed
yearly
Observed and projected changes in seasonal
precipitation extremes
changes-Sprcp-extrmProjected changes in seasonal precipitation extremes between historical and future periods
are computed
yearly
Observed and projected changes in seasonal Temperature extremeschanges-Stemp-extrmProjected changes in seasonal temperature extremes
between historical and future periods
are computed
yearly
Observed and projected changes in START and END
of seasons
changes-start-endProjected changes in seasonal precipitation
between historical and future periods
are computed and examined for any changes in spatial-temporal distribution
yearly
Observed and projected annual change in consecutive dry days frequencyA.Dry_days_frqAnalysis of the observed and projected annual change in consecutive dry days frequencyyearly
Observed and projected annual change in consecutive wet days frequencyA.Wet_days_frqAnalysis of the observed and projected annual change in consecutive wet days frequencyyearly
Projected annual change in maximum five-day accumulated precipitation changeFive_dayAcc_prcpObserved and projected annual change in maximum five-day accumulated precipitation changeyearly
Change in seasonal concsecutive dry days frequency.S.Dry_days_frqAnalysis of changes in seasonal concsecutive dry days frequency.
yearly