ACCOF-18
DATE
29th Oct – 1st Nov, 2024
Venue
Online
ABOUT ACCOF-18 :
Applications (ClimSA) Programme, the African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD) and its partners are collaborating to coordinate, integrate
and harmonize methods, tools and products to produce improved continental climate forecasts. More so, considering the recent climatic conditions observed during summer season from June to September 2024 in the Northern Hemisphere of Africa from Cape Verde to Djibouti, as well as the observed trends in Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) of Ocean Basins with rainfall activity in the Southern Hemisphere, ACMAD, in close collaboration with the designated WMO Regional Climates Centres (RCCs) and other Partners is organising the Eighteenth Africa Continental Climate Outlook Forum to contribute to mitigate the challenges of extreme weather events due to climatic variability and change in the Continent.
The main goal of the Forum is to review the recommendations of the ACCOF-17 and adopt an improved practical approach for the harmonization of forecasting methods and tools. In addition, the Consensus Continental Outlook statement for Africa will be generated and issued to raise awareness on the quality and derived benefits of an Integrated and Harmonized Climate Outlooks at Continental level for adaptation to climate change across African Regional Economic Communities (RECs).
FORUM OBJECTIVES :
ACCOF-18 aims at improving the contribution of RCCs to Early Warning and Anticipatory Action and review the recommendations of the ACCOF-17 and adopt an improved practical approach for the harmonization of forecasting methods and tools for the Continent. The specific objectives of the meeting are to:
- Review the Outcomes of ACCOF 17
- Verify the performance/skills of the forecasts for May to September 2024 Season.
- Analyse the current evolution of the main climate drivers including the ENSO evolution and their impacts at the continental level for the November 2024 to February 2025 period.
- Develop a Consensus Continental Climate Outlook for NDJ-DJF 2024-25 season and adopt a road map for data and methods harmonisation
- Review and Harmonize data, tools and methods for a consensual continental drought Bulletin.
- Facilitate through User Engagement interaction the generation of Co-Produced Products Outputs from Climate Outlooks for Regional Economic Communities (ECOWAS, ECCAS, IGAD, SADC, IOC) and other Partners.
- Support and Promote release of Impact/Risk Based Seasonal Climate Outlook Statements at Sub-Regional and Continental levels.
- Create more awareness on benefits of integrated and harmonized Climate Outlook mechanism at Continental Level.
EXPECTED OUTCOMES :
The expected outcomes of the 18th African Continental Outlook Forum include:
- Verified Performance/Skills of the Forecasts/Outlooks for May to September 2024.
- Prevailing Climate Drivers Analysed to inform the quality of forecast outlook to be produced for the November 2024 to February 2025 period.
- Consensus Continental Climate Outlook Developed for NDJ-DJF 2024-25 season.
- Harmonized Road Map for Forecasting Techniques Adopted by Climate Experts in the RCCs and other Partners.
- Harmonized data, tools and methods for the continental drought bulletin.
- Co-Produced Products Outputs from Climate Outlooks for Regional Economic Communities (ECOWAS, ECCAS, IGAD, SADC, IOC) and other key Partners.
- Enhanced Impact/Risk Based Seasonal Climate Outlook Statements for improved climate-smart decision making at Sub-Regional and Continental levels.
- Capacity among Climate Experts built on Benefits of the integrated and harmonized Climate Outlook forecasting techniques at Continental Level.
Agenda
Program:
| TIME(GMT) | ACTIVITY | FACILITATOR |
| DAY 1 : October 29, 2024 | ||
| 08:30-09 :00 | Registration of participants and virtual meeting connection logistics | ACMAD – Communication officer |
| OPENING Session | ||
| 09:00-09:15 |
|
Ghana Met / ACMAD |
| 09:15-09:30 | GROUP PHOTO | ACMAD Communication Officer |
| SESSION 1: Review and Discussion of the forecast output from ACCOF 17 | ||
| 09:30- 10:30 | Review the Outcomes of ACCOF 17 | ACMAD / All |
| 10:30- 11:30 | Performance of the May-September 2024 Precipitation Forecast and Assessment of Climatic Conditions and their Impacts during MJJ, JJA, JAS 2024 | Presenter: RCCs (ICPAC, AGRHYMET, CAPC-CA, IOC, ACMAD, RCC-North Morocco) Moderator: AUC |
| 11:30-11:45 | Health break | |
| 11:45-13:00 | Discussion on the performance of the past seasons: Which drivers were involved? What was effective? Challenges. | All Moderator: ACMAD |
| 13:00-14:00 | Lunch break | |
| SESSION 2: Analysis of the Current Conditions and Climate Outlook for the Upcoming Seasons (November 2024 to February 2025), Moderator: OACPS | ||
| 14:30-14:45 | Seasonal forecast for northern Africa and impacts during the winter season | Presenter: RCCs North Africa (Morocco) |
| 14:45-15:00 | Seasonal forecast for Central Africa and impacts during the ONDJF season | Presenter: CAPC-AC |
| 15:15-15:30 | Seasonal forecast for Eastern Africa (ONDJ 2024-25) | Presenter: RCCs ICPAC |
| 15:30-15:45 | Seasonal forecast and impacts of tropical cyclone season | Presenter: RCCs Indian Ocean (La Réunion) |
| 15:45-16:00 | Health break | |
| 16:00-16:15 | Seasonal forecast for Southern Africa (NDJF 2024-25) | Presenter: SADC-CSC |
| 16:15-16:45 | Seasonal forecast for (November 2024 to February 2025) | Presenter: RCCs ACMAD |
| 16:45-17:00 | Discussion and Wrap-up of Day 1 | ACMAD |
TIME(GMT)ACTIVITYFACILITATOR
| DAY 2 : October 30, 2024 | |||
| SESSION 2: (Cnt’d) | |||
| 09:00-09:40 | Presentation of the Consensus Outlook and Discussion | Presenter: RCCs ACMAD | Moderator: Dr Faka (OACPS) |
| 09:40-10:00 | ClimSA Capacity Building Program in Africa | AUC: Dr. Diasso | |
| 10:00-10:30 | Seasonal Forecast Using Machine Learning (AI) Challenges & Opportunities | Presenter: ICPAC/Dr Hussein Seid | |
| 10:30-11:30 | Discussion on Road Map for data and methods harmonisation | All Moderator: ACMAD | |
| 11:30-11:45 | Health break | ||
| SESSION 3: Harmonization of Data, Tools and Methods for the Continental Drought Bulletin | |||
| 11:45-12:05 | Intro / Background: Overview to the African Drought Monitoring and Advisory System (ADMA). Tools, Datasets Methods/Platforms Used | ACMAD | Moderator: Dr Ulrich Diasso (AUC) |
| 12:05-12:20 | East Africa Regional Drought Monitoring & Early Warning System. Tools, Datasets Methods/Platforms Used | Presenter: ICPAC/SitRoom | |
| 12:20-12:35 | West Africa Regional Drought Monitoring & Early Warning System. Tools, Datasets Methods/Platforms Used | Presenter: AGRHYMET | |
| 12:35-13:00 | Recent drought over southern Africa: Detection Tools. What was done? What was effective? Challenges. | Presenter: SADC/SHOC | |
| 13:00-14:00 | Lunch break | ||
| 14:00-14:20 | The African Drought Advisory Bulletin: What is it? How is it produce? Challenges | Presenter: AUC/SitRoom | |
| 14:20-15:20 | Discussion on presentations | ||
| 15:20-15:45 | Group Practical session: Understanding Combined Drought Indicator and underlying indicators | ACMAD/ICPAC/AUC | |
| 15:45-16:00 | Health break | ||
| 16:00-17:00 | Way forward for a co-design and co-produced Continental Drought Bulletin. | All | |
| 17:00-17:30 | Wrap up of Day 2 and Recommendations | All / ACMAD | |
| TIME(GMT) | ACTIVITY | FACILITATOR | |
| DAY 3 : October 31, 2024 | |||
| 08:30-09:00 | Registration of participants and virtual meeting connection logistics | ACMAD – Communication Officer | |
| OPENING SESSION | |||
| 09:00-09:15 | Remarks by ACMAD, AUC, OACPS, WMO, ANBO, GHANA Met | GMET / ACMAD Communication Officers | |
| 09:15-09:30 | GROUP PHOTO | ||
| SESSION 4 : User Engagement Session | |||
| 09:30-10:00 | Experience Sharing on User-Based Participation and Socio-Economic benefit of Climate Services at National Level | ACMAD/ Prof Matazu AGRHYMET/ Dr Tinni | Moderator: Dr Ulrich Diasso (AUC) |
| 10:00-10:30 | Presentation Socio-Economic Benefit Tool | OACPS – Dr. Faka | |
| 10:30-10:45 | Health break | ||
| 10:45-11:55 | Impact Based Forecasting in AMHEWAS | CIMA Foundation | |
| 10:55-11:15 | Overview of the Continental User interface Platforms and Available climate services | ACMAD /Dr Kamsu Tamo, Mr Hubert Kabengela Mr NshimirimanaProf Matazu | |
| 11:15-11:35 | Presentation of ACCOF-17 Outcome and Verification | ||
| 11:35-12:35 | Joint Climate/User Group Session to assess/verify the Performance of the ACCOF-17 Products in the Agriculture, DRR, Health and Water sector | ||
| 12:35-13:00 | Presentation of ACCOF-18 Consensus Forecast | ICPAC / AGRHYMET | |
| 13:00-14:00 | Lunch break | ||
| 14:00-15:30 | Joint Climate/User Group Session to analyze the implications of the NDJF ACCOF-18 Products and proffer adaptation/mitigation measures and advisories | All / ACMAD | Moderator: Dr Ulrich Diasso (AUC) |
| 15:30-15:45 | Health break | ||
| 15:45-16:45 | Joint Climate/User Group Report Presentation and integration of recommendations in the final ACCOF-18 Statement | All / ACMAD | |
| 16:45-17:00 | Discussions and Wrap-up of Day 3 | ACMAD | |
| TIME(GMT) | ACTIVITY | FACILITATOR | |
| DAY 4 : November 01, 2024 | |||
| SESSION 4 : User Engagement Session (Cnt’d) and Public Presentation of ACCOF-18 Outcome | |||
| 09:00-09:10 | Presentation on best practices for communication channels, user engagement and feedback mechanisms for climate services | ACMAD/ Mrs Kanazoe | Moderator: Dr Eric Asuman – Director General GMET |
| 09:10-09:25 | The African Drought Advisory Bulletin: Users Perspectives and opportunities | AUC / ACMAD | |
| 09:25-09:40 | Presentation on UNDRR activities in EAW4ALL: | UNDRR / Mashauri Muliro | |
| 09:40-09:55 | The advantage of use of Climate/Weather information in Preparedness and response activities: Challenges and Opportunities | OCHA – Benedetta Di Cinto | |
| 09:55-10:10 | Presentation on Anticipatory Action Activities Using the Climate/Weather Information | IFRC- Noor Pwani | |
| 10:10-10:25 | Q&A | ||
| 10:25-10:40 | Health Break | ||
| 10:40-10:55 | Presentation on Use Climate Information for Smart Agriculture | PAFO | |
| 10:55-11:10 | Africa Risk Capacity (ARC) Presentation on use of Climate Information and Collaboration with ACMAD: | ARC – Dr Michel Kouadio | |
| 11:10-11:25 | Experience sharing on ClimSA Knowledge Management System | OACPS – Dr Faka | |
| 11:25-11:20 | Q&A | ||
| 12:00-12:30 | Wrap-up and Presentation of the final Statement of ACCOF-18 | ACMAD | |
| 12:30-13:00 | Closing Remarks: ACMAD, AUC, OACPS, WMO, ANBO, GHANA Met | GMET / ACMAD Communication Officers | |
| Media Interactions | |||
| 12:30-13:00 | Lunch break – End of ACCOF-18 | ||
Contact
For more inquiries, please contact this following link: contact@acmad.org