PRESAGG-10: Online Training Workshop

DATE
14 – 17 Feb 2023
Venue:
Online

Information Note:

fr | eng

Workshop Flyer:

About PRESAGG

ACMAD in collaboration with the AGRHYMET Center with its technical partners organizes the regional seasonal forecast forum under the theme “Climate Service for Early Warning and for Rapid Action in the Gulf of Guinea region”.

This activity is organized within the framework of the “Climate Services and Applications (ClimSA)” program with the support and coordination of the African Center for Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD) in collaboration with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHS) of the Gulf of Guinea Region and other partners, are organizing the Regional Climate Outlook Forum for the Gulf of Guinea Region.

Each year, extreme weather, hydrological and climatic disasters (severe storms, floods, heat waves and droughts) cause loss of life and significant socio-economic impacts, significantly compromising socio-economic development and growth, in particular in countries low resources.

The PRESAGG was initiated in 2014 in collaboration with meteorological services, regional and international institutions in response to the need for information on the climate of the Gulf of Guinea to better manage climate risks in this region.

The forum will be followed by the development by each country of detailed national seasonal forecasts with alert information through the national climate outlook forums, the results of which will be communicated to decision-makers and the general public. ACMAD supports countries in pilot initiatives for the production, communication and use of localized seasonal forecasts.

Training Objectives :

In order to facilitate the preparation and build capacity on seasonal forecasting for the Gulf of Guinea region for the March-April-May-June (MAMJ) 2023 season, ACMAD is organizing an online training course that will focus on data, methods, tools and products.

In order to facilitate the preparation and build capacity on seasonal forecasting for the Gulf of Guinea region for the March-April-May-June (MAMJ) 2023 season, ACMAD is organizing an online training course that will focus on data, methods, tools and products.

This initiative aims to strengthen seasonal forecasting capacity for the equatorial band of Africa in support of PRESAGG. The ultimate goal is to empower national meteorological and hydrological services to organize their National Climate Outlook Forums (NCOFs).

The Training will focus on the following subjects:

  • Methods for evaluating forecast performance
  • Introduction to data, methods and tools used in seasonal forecasting
  • Generation of practical forecasts using tools and other approaches
  • Presentation of the new products of the Seasonal Forecasting Fora

Expected Training Outcomes:

The technical capacities of national experts are strengthened in the following:

  • Knowledge on Methods for evaluating forecast performance
  • Improve skills on data manipulation, methods and tools used in seasonal forecasting
  • Capacity to generate forecasts using tools and other approaches
  • Exposure to new products of the Seasonal Forecasting Fora
Training Agenda
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14 Feb.2023 Day 1
10:00 – 13:00 Session 1: Evaluation of the seasonal forecast
  • Training in new methodologies and tools for analyzing the performance of the season (PDF P1 | P2) ; (Video P1 | P2)
  • State of play at country level (Data and Methods)
15 Feb.2023 Day 2
10:00 – 13:00 Session 2: Introduction to data, methods and tools used in seasonal forecasting (1/2)
  • Seasonal Forecasting Methods – Presentation of the method in place at ACMAD (PDF | Video)
  • Introduction Analysis and production of products on methods:
    • Climate variability (methods, data type and formatting, interpretation)
    • Statistical forecasting tools (CPT & CFT) and Data preparation
16 Feb.2023 Day 3
10:00 – 13:00 Session 2: Introduction to data, methods and tools used in seasonal forecasting (2/2)
  • Introduction Analysis and production of products on methods:
    • Climate variability (methods, data type and formatting, interpretation)
    • Statistical forecasting tools (CPT & CFT) and Data preparation (CPT PDF , Video | CFT PDF, Video)
Session 3: Presentation of the new products of the RCOFs
  • Detection and indices of climate change (PDF | Video)
17 Feb.2023 Day 4
10:00 – 13:00 Session 4: Generating seasonal forecasts using tools and other approaches
  • Detailed presentation of the 9 steps used at ACMAD (Methods, data preparation and analytical tools, interpretations) (PDF | Video)