PRESAC-18
DATE
March 04 – 08, 2024
Location
Online
About PRESAC-18
The Regional Climate Outlook Forum on Seasonal for Central Africa edition 2024 is a platform that brings together climate experts, media, and stakeholders from sectors sensitive to climate impacts to analyze national, regional, and global information, produce and exchange seasonal forecasts to ensure resilience to disasters in Central Africa.
Through exchanges and interactions with users and sectoral actors, the forum evaluates the implications of the forecast on socio-economic sectors (e.g., agriculture, water management, and disasters) and explores possible uses of the forecast. The forum strengthens links and networks between climate service providers and user sectors. It also serves as a mechanism to accelerate the training of meteorological service agents and users on the value chain of climate service, exchange and propose necessary reforms to ensure good governance and quality of climate services in the region.
The Center for Climate Application and Prediction for Central Africa (CAPC-AC), under the Climate Services and its Applications (ClimSA) program, with the support and coordination of the African Center of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD) in collaboration with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), and other partners, is organizing the eighteenth forum on seasonal climate forecasts in Central Africa (PRESAC-18).
PRESAC-18 will take place from March 4th to March 8th, 2024, under the theme: “Climate Services to Strengthen Resilience to Disasters in Central Africa.”
PRESAC-18 OBJECTIVES :
The overall objective of the forum is to contribute to strengthening the resilience of the populations of the Central Africa in the face of climatic hazards during the period March-April-May season. This is done through training, production of forecasting, interaction with users / decision makers and communication during the forum.
The specific objectives are to:
- Produce and disseminate consensus seasonal climate forecasts for the countries and sub-region valid from March to May 2024 and from April to June 2024, along with potential hazards and impacts, as well as proposed measures to strengthen resilience for water management, health, disaster risks, and agriculture stakeholders in the region;
- Exchange with stakeholders from health management, water management, disaster risks, and agriculture participating in the forum on hazards, potential impacts, updating contingency plans, and their implementation;
- Discuss and share with meteorological service directors and permanent representatives of countries to the WMO on the progress of project activities as well as validation of this year’s work program.
EXPECTED OUTCOMES :
- Discussed or established user interfaces (DRR-Climate, Health-Climate, Agriculture-Climate);
- Statement on climate outlook provided
- Organized interaction with users and media
- Directors of meteorological services are briefed on project activities and the new program is validated
- Climate experts and user sector representatives trained
AGENDA
| Day 1: March 04, 2024 | |
| Time | Activity |
| 08h30-09h00 | Registration |
| SESSION 0: OFFICIAL OPENING CEREMONY and SETTING THE STAGE | |
| 09:00 – 09:30 | Official opening ceremony of the forumOpening remarks of the Representative of DG ACMADOpening remarks by the representative of ECCASOpening Statement by AUC Representative |
09:30 – 10:15 |
Current State of Climate over Centrale Africa Countries
|
| 10:15 – 10:45 | Coffe-Break |
| SESSION I: Review and Performance Assessment of the MAM, AMJ 2023 Seasonal Forecast | |
| 10:00-11:30 | Performance of National(CAMEROON ,GABON…) and Regional Forecasts(CAPC-CA) |
| Assessment of past and present regional and global climatic conditions | |
| Introduction to the new methods and tools for seasonal performance assessment | |
| SESSION II: Generation of the Seasonal Forecast: Methods, Tools and Data | |
| 11h30-12h00 | Method and tools: Introduction to the ACMAD’s 9-Steps Approach for Seasonal Forecasting |
| 12h00-13h00 | Status of global climate drivers and their likely impacts on the within Gulf of Guinea region
|
| 13h00-14h30 | Lunch break |
| SESSION II: Generation of the Seasonal Forecast: Methods, Tools and Data (Ctnd) | |
| 14h30-17h30 | Analysis of climate variability and trends for target seasons
|
| 17h00-17h30 | Coffee Break and End of Day 1 |
| Day 2: March 05, 2024 | |
| SESSION 0: OFFICIAL OPENING CEREMONY and SETTING THE STAGE | |
| 08h30-10h30 | Digital Applications for Climate Services (CLIMTAG, MyDewetra, Mukau) |
| 10:15 – 10:15 | Coffe-Break |
| SESSION II: Generation of the Seasonal Forecast: Methods, Tools and Data (Ctnd) | |
| 11h00-13h00 | Analysis of climate variability and trends for target seasons
|
| 13h00-14h30 | Lunch Break |
| 14h30-16h00 | Statistical Downscaling for Seasonal Forecasting (Cntd) |
| 16h00-17h30 | Analysis of LRF products from GPCs
|
| 17h00-18h00 | Coffee Break and End of Day 2 |
| Day 3: March 06, 2024 | |
| 08h30-10h00 | Production of national ( Gabon, Angola, …) seasonal forecast and regional consensus forecast
|
| 10h00-10h30 | Coffee-Break |
| 10h30-13h00 | Plenary session: Climate-Agro-Hydro experts discussion |
| 13h00-14h30 | Lunch Break |
| 14h30-15h30 | Forecasts Finalization |
| 15h30-17h30 | Drafting the statements |
| 17h30-18h00 | Coffee Break and End of Day 3 |
Contact
For more inquiries, please contact this following link: contact@acmad.org